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View Full Version : US foreclosure filings up 71 percent in 3Q


Moby
10-23-2008, 11:08 AM
That's almost 1,000,000 homes in some state of foreclosure. :(

It's definitely Obama's fault.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20081023/ap_on_bi_ge/foreclosure_rates
WASHINGTON – The number of homeowners ensnared in the foreclosure crisis grew by more than 70 percent in the third quarter of this year compared with the same period in 2007, according to data released Thursday.

Nationwide, nearly 766,000 homes received at least one foreclosure-related notice from July through September, up 71 percent from a year earlier, said foreclosure listing service RealtyTrac Inc.

By the end of the year, RealtyTrac expects more than a million bank-owned properties to have piled up on the market, representing around a third of all properties for sale in the U.S.

That's bad news for anyone who lives nearby and wants to sell their home. While foreclosure sales are booming in many areas, those properties are commanding deep discounts and pulling down neighboring property values. "It has a pretty significant impact in terms of pricing," said Rick Sharga, RealtyTrac's vice president for marketing.

RealtyTrac monitors default notices, auction sale notices and bank repossessions. More than 250,000 properties were repossessed by lenders nationwide in the third quarter, 81,000 of which were taken back last month.

Six states — California, Florida, Arizona, Ohio, Michigan and Nevada — accounted for more than 60 percent of all foreclosure activity in the quarter, with California alone making up more than a quarter of all U.S. foreclosure filings.

Detroit and Atlanta were the only cities outside California, Florida, Nevada and Arizona to make RealtyTrac's list of the 20 hardest-hit metropolitan areas.

The combination of sinking home values, tighter mortgage lending criteria and an economy that many economists think has already slipped into recession has left hundreds of thousands of homeowners with few options. Many can't find buyers or owe more than their home is worth and can't refinance into an affordable loan, with the global credit crisis making loans far less available.

For those who can qualify for a loan, or have cash to invest, there are bargains to be had, especially in ravaged markets like Nevada and California. Last month, foreclosure resales accounted for more than half of existing home sales in California last month, as home sales jumped 65 percent from a year ago, while the statewide median home price fell 34 percent to $283,000, according to MDA DataQuick.

RealtyTrac, however, reported foreclosure filings in September were actually down 12 percent from August. But much of that decline was the result of new state laws that delay the foreclosure process. In California, for example, lenders are now required to contact borrowers at least 30 days before filing a default notice. A similar law in North Carolina gives borrowers an extra 45 days.

Still, that's not likely to be enough to save homeowners who owe more on their mortgages than their homes are worth. Nearly 12 million of the 52 million Americans with a mortgage — that's 23 percent of them — are in that position, according to Moody's Economy.com.

It remains to be seen how much the government's intervention will stem the housing crisis. Earlier this month, the Federal Housing Administration launched a program that aims to prevent foreclosures by allowing homeowners to swap their mortgages for more affordable loans, but only if their lender agrees to take a loss on the initial loan. The bill is projected to help about 400,000 households.

Meanwhile, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., which took over Pasadena, Calif.-based IndyMac Bank over the summer, has been aggressively modifying troubled home loans since August in an effort to stave off foreclosures. Congressional Democrats are calling for that approach to be expanded as the Treasury Department buys billions in troubled mortgage debt as part of a $700 billion financial industry bailout.

Binky
10-23-2008, 12:51 PM
Yep, doesn't surprise me. And when Michigan's hit hard the rest of the country hurts as well, since it's the auto capital. Again, when the money is flowing, people are stupid enough to charge their lives away and spend just because they can. Now they can't so it's hitting the state very hard.

disrupter
10-23-2008, 02:50 PM
I don't know how many homes have no mortgages. [guess: 20%?]

homeowners who owe more on their mortgages than their homes are worth. Nearly 12 million of the 52 million Americans with a mortgage — that's
23 percent of them

roughly a quarter of mortgages [1/5th of US homes?] have mortgages on them greater than their current market value.

That sounds like a pretty phenomenal statistic to me.
Usually the growth of the realestate market has been slow &/or coherent enough that this has rarely or only sporadically happened in the past.

I think we [Americans] recently started treating home ownership as a trivialized asset.
a 'certain' thing. As though there was no potential downside.

Of course a home compared to a Credit Default Swap is a vastly sounder investment. Even if a home dropped to a staggering 30% of its previous price it is rarely worthless.
CDSs on the on the other hand evaporate in value when the completely unregulated, unrecorded issuer goes belly up.

DANGEROUS footnote: AIG is STILL paying out on the the CDSs they have issued.

I am thinking it would have been better for taxpayers to let it go bankrupt & only then put it in receivership [salvaging its actual insurance customers] as a means of unloading Trillions of dollars of liabilities of CDSs.

But i suppose Bush, Paulson & Bernanke all have vulture buddies who are profiting wildly from receiving CDS payouts.

I have a question,
does ANYONE have an idea about this?

(1) Are banks hoarding cash because they are virtually insolvent by themselves because they are strung out on CDSs & other derivatives?
Or
(2) are the majority of them just trying to avoid getting blindly caught in some other bank's CDS driven bankruptcy?

initially i [naively?] assumed the second, but i am wondering if the first speculation is the case.
Or what the number of banks fall in which categories & how much of the gravitas of the US [& foreign too] banking system falls into which category?

also does anyone know how much in the way of CDS & other 1/2 quadrillion of derivative 'assets' :rolleyes: were destroyed, evaporated in the failures/bankruptcies of the investment banks? Was that like 5%? 20%? does ANYONE have any idea?

Bankruptcies of insolvent institutions acts as a natural triage of an unhealthy financial system. The government battles that at its peril.
& your tax dollars, government & your/our lives are at risk in this.

something to think about.