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doctordog
03-31-2010, 10:12 PM
When White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel last year advised "never waste a good crisis," he likely was thinking ahead to President Obama's economic stimulus program and health care plan. After swelling the federal deficit by passing the stimulus at a cost of nearly $1 trillion, Democrats in Congress signed off on Obamacare, with a price tag, according to Rep. Paul Ryan, R-Wis., of $2.3 trillion in its first decade alone. With federal spending exploding at such a rate, it's no wonder that Moody's Investor Service recently warned that it would downgrade the U.S. government's credit rating if it concludes "the government was unable and/or unwilling to quickly reverse the deterioration it has incurred."

What the United States government will do in the future may be in question, but we need not look far to find past examples of countries unwilling to get their finances in order. Consider Argentina. In 1914, it was one of the wealthiest countries in the world, and its living standard exceeded that of Western Europe until the late 1950s. Then President Juan Peron squandered his nation's prosperity by introducing a host of redistributionist economic and regulatory policies, nationalizing utilities and foreign investments, and pumping up the national debt. What followed was three decades of political instability, growing dependency, and economic stagnation.

There was a brief period of privatization and booming foreign investment in what the American Enterprise Institute's Mark Falcoff called Argentina's "go go" 1990s. But that was negated by the return of political leaders espousing Peronist principles who created a downward economic spiral by breaking contracts with foreign utility companies that had invested heavily in Argentina. Today, the country has lost its international credit standing and an estimated 10 percent of the population has moved abroad to escape the stifling taxes, regulation and inefficiency. To make matters worse, President Cristina Kirchner recently attracted attention for firing the president of the country's central bank. His sin was refusing to go along with her inflationary spending policies (Argentina's inflation is 17 percent) and challenging her demand that he hand over $6.6 billion in bank reserves.

Besides sending federal spending skyrocketing, Obama has, like so many of the politicians who ruined Argentina, dramatically increased government regulation of business, nationalized major sectors of the economy, and imposed a lengthy list of tax increases. America today is no more exempt from economic reality than Argentina was in years past. Make no mistake, these actions will eventually drain the life from this nation's economic vitality, just as they did in Argentina.



Read more at the Washington Examiner: http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/United-States-of-Argentina-89551242.html#ixzz0joJrGhwa

Revere
04-01-2010, 11:16 PM
When Congress demands testimony from (intimidates) businesses who disclose their losses (a required SEC filing) from Obamacare, it's the United States of Venezuela.

Pat
04-01-2010, 11:31 PM
1+1=2
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/7153180/US-credit-rating-at-risk-Moodys-warns.html


US credit rating at risk, Moody's warns
The United States' top credit rating could be at risk should its nascent economic revival not develop into a full-blown recovery, Moody’s Investor Service has warned.

By James Quinn, US Business Editor
Published: 6:36AM GMT 04 Feb 2010

The credit ratings agency cautioned that if the US were to grow at slower pace levels than expected, the largest economy in the world’s already-extended finances could be over-stretched, in turn damaging its AAA credit rating.

Were the US to lose its AAA rating, it could cause further financial damage, by increasing the cost of borrowing money, a necessary evil for a country predicted to have a $1.56 trillion (£980bn) budget deficit this year.

The warning comes hot on the heels of a similar warning to the UK in mid-January, when Moody’s Pierre Cailleteau, head of sovereign ratings, said the UK needed a budget plan in order to ensure it keeps its high-grade debt status.

However the warning against the US may come as a surprise, given it comes just six weeks after Moody’s said it had no plans to lower the US’s debt rating, with the agency saying that ‘the outlook is stable.’

"Economic growth is very important to our assessment (of the sovereign rating)," Steven Hess, Moody’s senior credit officer in its sovereign risk division, told Reuters.

Mr Hess argued that although President Barack Obama’s recent budget for 2011 and related financial projections are based on strong growth, actual productivity might be somewhat lower.

He said Moody’s is “semi-optimistic” that the US can regain the sort of growth path it experienced before the recession.

The Obama administration’s budget is predicated on 2.7pc growth this year, followed by 3.8pc in 2011.

"The implications would not be good if the US were in for anemic growth for some time to come because the government could have problems for revenue growth," Mr Hess said.

He believes that US economic growth will potentially be restrained by consumer debt levels, with the need to repay those levels stifling spending.

"We think that either economic growth has to be much more vigorous than the administration is assuming so that revenues would be higher or they need to do something further to increase revenues or cut expenditures," Mr Hess continued.

Moody’s warning will be closely studied by the Chinese government, which remains the biggest foreign holder of US sovereign debt.

According to the most recent figures, China held $789.6bn of US treasury bonds, accounting for 60pc of the Asian superpower’s stockpile of foreign reserves.