The Professor
07-26-2009, 01:51 PM
Bigears' PERSONAL poll numbers are plunging, particularly after his primetime press conference pledged to The Prof vs Po-Po soap opera.
Rasmussen, America's most precise pollster, has Bigears' Strong Approvals at 29%, while those Stongly Disapproving comprise 40%, making a net of -11 points, an all time low.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rasmussen_Reports
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/how_did_we_do
A study by Fordham University finds that Rasmussen was the most accurate of 23 national surveys in 2008, which is not surprising as the founder of ESPN, Rasmussen, tracked Obama/McCain correct within a penny.
Bigears' most decisive detractors have risen by FIVE points in just 3 days since the presser, which was summoned originally---supposedly---to discuss health care reform (LOLOL!).
These "strong" sentiments concerning Bigears' OVERALL performance are forcefully reflected on THESE very pages of DCJ, where daily is demonstrated the over-the-top opposition of his critics, in stark contrast to the lukewarm "support" of his "defenders," their general wait-and-see attitude, demeanor.
One reason Rasmussen consistenly bests his competition over the last several cycles is, apparently, his insistence on polling "likely voters," as opposed to questioning all adults or voters merely registered.
The number of Americans who see Bigears as LIBERAL (the dreaded L-word) is also at an all time hi, 76%, up 6 points from a month ago and 11 since inauguration day.
Nearly half, 48%, identify the large lobed loser as VERY LIBERAL, up TWENTY points since January 20.
53% oppose the Pelosi/Bigears health care package as it stands today, an increase of 8 points since Dumbo started pushing his plan non stop.
The harder he tries, the faster in reverse he goes.
An ABC/Washington Post poll released last Monday, July 20, was similarly instructive when it comes to Bigears' bobbling of the health care football.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/07/19/AR2009071902176.html?hpid=topnews
According to ABC/The Post, Bigears on health care polled at 57% favorable in April vs 29% against, or +28 points. By July he dropped to +5, 49% to 44%.
Amongst independents the news was WORSE. In April, 53% of the non-affiliated liked Bigears' work on health care, while 30% questioned him, a margin of +23.
By July 20, The Post says he's at 44% positive, 49% negative, or -5.
No wonder so many in his own party are SCARED to side with their problematic president.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows that 29% of the nation's voters now Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as President. Forty percent (40%) Strongly Disapprove giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -11. That’s the first time his ratings have reached double digits in negative territory.
These updates are based upon nightly telephone interviews and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. Today is the first update based entirely upon interviews conducted after the President’s prime time televised press conference. The number who Strongly Approve of the President has remained unchanged since the press conference but the number who Strongly Disapprove has gone up by five percentage points (from 35% on Wednesday morning to 40% today).
The Presidential Approval Index is calculated by subtracting the number who Strongly Disapprove from the number who Strongly Approve. It is updated daily at 9:30 am.
The President received generally poor grades for his response to a question about a Cambridge police incident involving a black Harvard professor. However, the results show a huge divide between black Americans and white Americans on all questions.
Overall, 49% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the President's performance. Fifty percent (50%) disapprove. It is important to remember that the Rasmussen Reports job approval ratings are based upon a sample of likely voters. Some other firms base their approval ratings on samples of all adults. President Obama’s numbers are always several points higher in a poll of adults rather than likely voters. That’s because some of the President’s most enthusiastic supporters, such as young adults, are less likely to turn out to vote.
The President is now seen as politically liberal by 76%. That’s up six points from a month ago, 11 points since he was elected, and the highest total to date. Forty-eight percent (48%) now see him as Very Liberal, up 20 points since he was elected.
Fifty-three percent (53%) now oppose the Congressional health care reform package. That’s up eight points over the past month. Just 20% now see health care as the most important of the President’s priorities. Nearly twice as many, 37%, say deficit reduction is most important.
When comparing Job Approval data from different firms, it's important to keep in mind that polls of likely voters and polls of all adults will typically and consistently yield different results. In the case of President Obama, polls by all firms measuring all adults typically show significantly higher approval ratings than polls of likely voters. Polls of registered voters typically fall in the middle. Other factors are also important to consider when comparing Job Approval ratings from different polling firms.
A Fordham University professor has rated the national pollsters on their record in Election 2008. We also have provided a summary of our results for your review.
Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. The margin of sampling error—for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters--is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Results are also compiled on a full-week basis and crosstabs for full-week results are available for Premium Members.
Like all polling firms, Rasmussen Reports weights its data to reflect the population at large. Among other targets, Rasmussen Reports weights data by political party affiliation using a dynamic weighting process. While partisan affiliation is generally quite stable over time, there are a fair number of people who waver between allegiance to a particular party or independent status. Over the past four years, the number of Democrats in the country has increased while the number of Republicans has decreased.
Our baseline targets are established based upon separate survey interviews with a sample of adults nationwide completed during the preceding three months (a total of 45,000 interviews) and targets are updated monthly. Currently, the baseline targets for the adult population are 39.0% Democrats, 32.5% Republicans, and 28.5% unaffiliated. Likely voter samples typically show a slightly smaller advantage for the Democrats.
The Prof
Rasmussen, America's most precise pollster, has Bigears' Strong Approvals at 29%, while those Stongly Disapproving comprise 40%, making a net of -11 points, an all time low.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rasmussen_Reports
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/how_did_we_do
A study by Fordham University finds that Rasmussen was the most accurate of 23 national surveys in 2008, which is not surprising as the founder of ESPN, Rasmussen, tracked Obama/McCain correct within a penny.
Bigears' most decisive detractors have risen by FIVE points in just 3 days since the presser, which was summoned originally---supposedly---to discuss health care reform (LOLOL!).
These "strong" sentiments concerning Bigears' OVERALL performance are forcefully reflected on THESE very pages of DCJ, where daily is demonstrated the over-the-top opposition of his critics, in stark contrast to the lukewarm "support" of his "defenders," their general wait-and-see attitude, demeanor.
One reason Rasmussen consistenly bests his competition over the last several cycles is, apparently, his insistence on polling "likely voters," as opposed to questioning all adults or voters merely registered.
The number of Americans who see Bigears as LIBERAL (the dreaded L-word) is also at an all time hi, 76%, up 6 points from a month ago and 11 since inauguration day.
Nearly half, 48%, identify the large lobed loser as VERY LIBERAL, up TWENTY points since January 20.
53% oppose the Pelosi/Bigears health care package as it stands today, an increase of 8 points since Dumbo started pushing his plan non stop.
The harder he tries, the faster in reverse he goes.
An ABC/Washington Post poll released last Monday, July 20, was similarly instructive when it comes to Bigears' bobbling of the health care football.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/07/19/AR2009071902176.html?hpid=topnews
According to ABC/The Post, Bigears on health care polled at 57% favorable in April vs 29% against, or +28 points. By July he dropped to +5, 49% to 44%.
Amongst independents the news was WORSE. In April, 53% of the non-affiliated liked Bigears' work on health care, while 30% questioned him, a margin of +23.
By July 20, The Post says he's at 44% positive, 49% negative, or -5.
No wonder so many in his own party are SCARED to side with their problematic president.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows that 29% of the nation's voters now Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as President. Forty percent (40%) Strongly Disapprove giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -11. That’s the first time his ratings have reached double digits in negative territory.
These updates are based upon nightly telephone interviews and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. Today is the first update based entirely upon interviews conducted after the President’s prime time televised press conference. The number who Strongly Approve of the President has remained unchanged since the press conference but the number who Strongly Disapprove has gone up by five percentage points (from 35% on Wednesday morning to 40% today).
The Presidential Approval Index is calculated by subtracting the number who Strongly Disapprove from the number who Strongly Approve. It is updated daily at 9:30 am.
The President received generally poor grades for his response to a question about a Cambridge police incident involving a black Harvard professor. However, the results show a huge divide between black Americans and white Americans on all questions.
Overall, 49% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the President's performance. Fifty percent (50%) disapprove. It is important to remember that the Rasmussen Reports job approval ratings are based upon a sample of likely voters. Some other firms base their approval ratings on samples of all adults. President Obama’s numbers are always several points higher in a poll of adults rather than likely voters. That’s because some of the President’s most enthusiastic supporters, such as young adults, are less likely to turn out to vote.
The President is now seen as politically liberal by 76%. That’s up six points from a month ago, 11 points since he was elected, and the highest total to date. Forty-eight percent (48%) now see him as Very Liberal, up 20 points since he was elected.
Fifty-three percent (53%) now oppose the Congressional health care reform package. That’s up eight points over the past month. Just 20% now see health care as the most important of the President’s priorities. Nearly twice as many, 37%, say deficit reduction is most important.
When comparing Job Approval data from different firms, it's important to keep in mind that polls of likely voters and polls of all adults will typically and consistently yield different results. In the case of President Obama, polls by all firms measuring all adults typically show significantly higher approval ratings than polls of likely voters. Polls of registered voters typically fall in the middle. Other factors are also important to consider when comparing Job Approval ratings from different polling firms.
A Fordham University professor has rated the national pollsters on their record in Election 2008. We also have provided a summary of our results for your review.
Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. The margin of sampling error—for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters--is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Results are also compiled on a full-week basis and crosstabs for full-week results are available for Premium Members.
Like all polling firms, Rasmussen Reports weights its data to reflect the population at large. Among other targets, Rasmussen Reports weights data by political party affiliation using a dynamic weighting process. While partisan affiliation is generally quite stable over time, there are a fair number of people who waver between allegiance to a particular party or independent status. Over the past four years, the number of Democrats in the country has increased while the number of Republicans has decreased.
Our baseline targets are established based upon separate survey interviews with a sample of adults nationwide completed during the preceding three months (a total of 45,000 interviews) and targets are updated monthly. Currently, the baseline targets for the adult population are 39.0% Democrats, 32.5% Republicans, and 28.5% unaffiliated. Likely voter samples typically show a slightly smaller advantage for the Democrats.
The Prof